Posts Tagged ‘new york’

Key Political Developments: Redstate

Thursday, April 2nd, 2009

Redstate:

Governor Update

Colorado: Former Rep. Scott McInnis (R-CO-3), after several times turning down the opportunity to run statewide, is now publicly saying he will challenge Gov. Bill Ritter (D). McInnis is said to be the CO Republican establishment’s first choice. Ritter is weak, so this is a legitimate race.

Georgia: The reported comeback of defeated Gov. Roy Barnes (D) looks rather anemic according to an Insider Advantage poll (3/17; 550 registered GA voters). Barnes fails to break 40% against three potential GOP candidates: Lt. Governor Casey Cagle, state Insurance Commissioner Mark Oxendine, and Secretary of State Karen Handel. He actually trails Cagle 39-35%. Barnes is a one-term Governor who lost his seat in 2002 to current incumbent Sonny Perdue (R). Perdue is term-limited in 2010.

Massachusetts: Add Deval Patrick (D) to the growing list of vulnerable Governors. A new Suffolk University survey (3/17-20; 400 MA voters) reveals that state Treasurer Tim Cahill would lead Patrick 35-30% in a Democratic primary match-up. Cahill says he’s not running. Patrick’s job approval is an upside down 40:49, meaning the Governor can expect a tough re-election campaign next year. Don’t forget, until Patrick’s victory in 2006, Republicans won the Massachusetts Governor’s chair four consecutive times.

New York: The Siena College poll referred to in our Senate column above, again confirms that Gov. David Paterson (D) is hemorrhaging politically. He loses 67-17% to Attorney General Andrew Cuomo in a proposed Democratic primary, and 56-33% to Rudy Giuliani in the general election. The Cuomo-Giuliani match-up is a surprisingly close 51-41%, in favor of the Democrat.

John Fund on tomorrow’s NY race

Monday, March 30th, 2009

John Fund at WSJ:

It will be the first gauge of President Barack Obama’s early days, and as the National Journal reports “it’s his stimulus package that’s the focus of the debate here.” The furor over the bonuses given out by American International Group (AIG), which a loophole in the stimulus bill allowed, has only heightened the attention that the race is getting both in New York and in Washington where officials in both parties are hoping for a win.

The vacancy in New York’s 20th congressional district — which stretches north from Poughkeepsie to Lake Placid — was created when Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand was appointed to fill Hillary Clinton’s U.S. Senate seat. Traditionally the district has been represented by Republicans, but like most of the Northeast it has been lurching left. Last November, Barack Obama carried the district, and Ms. Gillibrand won 62% against a former New York secretary of state who spent $6 million against her.

To replace Ms. Gillibrand, Democrats put up a fresh face, the kind of candidate that helped Rahm Emanuel take back the House for Democrats in 2006. Scott Murphy is a Harvard-educated venture capitalist who only moved into the area three years ago from Missouri. Using perfect Rahm-speak, he says he’ll join the moderate Blue Dog Democrats if elected.