Charlie Cook at The National Journal:
Even though presumptive nominee Mitt Romney has spent the last year and a half almost exclusively focused on currying favor with his party’s conservative base—quite often antagonizing other voters, including independents and swing voters—this race is very close. The RealClearPolitics average of recent polls shows a lead for President Obama of 3.1 percentage points, 47.6 percent to 44.5 percent. The Huffpost Pollster estimate is 2.2 percentage points, 47 percent to 44.8 percent.
The good news for Romney: The general-election campaign ads introducing him to voters and aiming to drive up his popularity with swing voters will undoubtedly shore up his standing among Republicans, too.
Tags: Barack Obama, charlie cook, focus group, Huffington Post, Mitt Romney