Reid Wilson, our former colleague and now the editor-in-chief of the Hotline On Call, had an interesting column today explaining “why Democrats will keep the House.”
He offers four reasons.
(1) Democrats have so far raised more money.
(2) Money facilitates turnout.
(3) Money facilitates opposition research.
(4) Democratic voters will come home, as they did in PA-12.
Each of these points has some validity, but in each one Wilson is over-stating his case. Let’s take them in turn.