Archive for April 10th, 2009

Kansas ranked #2 most likely to switch parties in top office

Friday, April 10th, 2009

The Fix:

2. Kansas (D): Until Gov. Kathleen Sebelius(D) is confirmed (or not confirmed) as Secretary of Health and Human Services, the Democratic field is effectively frozen. If Sebelius becomes head of HHS, then Lt. Gov. Mark Parkinson, who has said he will not seek statewide office in 2010, becomes governor. The big announcement then would be who Parkinson picks as his second-in-command as that person would almost certainly have a leg up on being the Democrats’ gubernatorial nominee in 2010. Regardless, Sen. Sam Brownback (R), who is coming back to the state to run for governor, is the clear favorite. (Previous ranking: 3)

1. Nevada (R): Fix friend — and king of Nevada journalism — Jon Ralston has taken to referring to Gov. Jim Gibbons (R) with a symbol: 0. That says all you need to know about Gibbons’ standing as he weighs whether to seek a second term. If he runs and makes it through the primary, this is a near-certain pickup for Democrats. The frontrunner for the Democratic nod is Rory Reid, chairman of the Clark County Commission, but state Assembly Speaker Barbara Buckley is also considering the race. (Previous ranking: 1)

Charlie Crist Facing Conservative Rebellion

Friday, April 10th, 2009

Tampa Bay Online:

Florida Republican Party circles are hearing increasing talk of conservative dissatisfaction with Gov. Charlie Crist, and a possible primary challenge if he runs for the U.S. Senate next year.

Crist’s high poll ratings, which muted such criticism early in his term, remain high, pollsters say, but are no longer preventing the talk.

Some conservatives, never happy with Crist’s emphasis on racial diversity, environmental regulation and populist willingness to take on big business, are now saying it openly.

“It’s the kind of disappointment that’s going to have people looking in other directions for leaders,” said former state Rep. Dennis Baxley of Ocala, now executive director of the Florida Christian Coalition. “The conservative movement needs a strong leader.”

Whether that will translate into tangible political opposition remains to be seen.